Climate and Development
Volume 6, Issue 2, 2014
http://www.tandfonline.com/toc/tcld20/current#.Uzg0pFcWNdc
The post-2015 global agenda: are the political decisions on climate change shifting to a new forum in the United Nations as it comes together with sustainable development and security?
Mukul Sanwala*
pages 93-95 DOI: 10.1080/17565529.2013.868336
Abstract
The way the issue of global environmentalism is now being framed around convergence of living standards within ecological limits may succeed in securing international cooperation in a manner that the focus on percentage reductions in greenhouse gases, that considered symptoms rather than the causes of climate change, was not able to achieve. The unresolved issue is no longer the approach of the USA but whether in writing its own urban future China will shape new rules and a new type of global partnership based on shared responsibility and prosperity.
Cyclones in a changing climate: the case of Bangladesh
Susmita Dasguptaa*, Mainul Huqb, Zahirul Huq Khanc, Manjur Murshed Zahid Ahmedc, Nandan Mukherjeed, Malik Fida Khand & Kiran Pandeye
pages 96-110 DOI: 10.1080/17565529.2013.868335
Abstract
This paper integrates information on climate-change, hydrodynamic models, and geographic overlays to assess the vulnerability of coastal areas in Bangladesh to larger storm surges and sea-level rise (SLR) by 2050. The approach identifies polders, coastal populations, settlements, infrastructure, and economic activity at risk of inundation, and estimates the damage from storm surge inundation versus the cost of several adaptation measures. A 27-centimetre SLR and 10% intensification of wind speed resulting from global warming suggest that the vulnerable zone increases in size by 69% given a +3-metre inundation depth, and by 14% given a +1-metre inundation depth. Estimates indicate investments including strengthening polders, foreshore afforestation, additional multi-purpose cyclone shelters, cyclone-resistant private housing, and further strengthening of the early warning and evacuation system would cost more than $2.4 billion, with an annual recurrent cost of more than $50 million. These estimates can serve as a prototype in climate negotiations of the adaptation costs of extreme weather events.